The number of Germans out of work is now at
2.87 million (around 6.9%) and Italian figures were the highest for a decade at
almost 9.8%. Spain reports 5.6 million jobless, a record rate of 24.4% which
confirms it as having the highest unemployment rate in the European Union (Cork
Monkey thinks this is likely to get worse throughout 2012).
With these figures showing record numbers were
reached in March much of the smart thinking is that this may be the impact of
the various European governments well publicised spending cuts, designed to control deficits and
control their economies, trickling through to the main economy and affecting
the population in fairly predictable ways.
No light at the end of the tunnel
Now Spain and Italy are both in recession and
have seen borrowing costs rise further, raising the prospect that they may need help or
even bailouts from their financially stretched neighbours. In addition the
future for Greece, Portugal and Ireland still looks grim and outside the Euro
zone there are some signs the UK could also be entering recession.
To rub salt into these wounds a recent survey of
euro zone manufacturing revealed further decline is inevitable as new orders
fell through the floor for the 11th month in row.
But the sun rises in the East
The gap in manufacturing is being filled by
China, India and others, who are looking to play a larger part in the world economy
going forward. Their calls for non western trading blocks and rivals to the IMF
the World Bank and other global institutions could further marginalise Europe who would become a significant but not quite so important a player on the world stage. Cork Monkey wonders if European politicians have got their strategy for dealing with the efffects of the global financial wrong and its austerity measures, that have reduced spending, have been at the expense of their economic growth.
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